The Earth's natural defenses against climate change, are beginning to give up
Climate change is a cyclical phenomenon that responds to natural causes and
to a lesser extent to the hand of man. Jan van Dam, paleontologist at the
University of Utrecht (Netherlands) explained that "The orbit of the Earth
is not perfectly regular it varies as it girates, so that its inclination
changes following a cycle of 41 thousand years and the poles are closer to
the Sun in a few eras than in another ones, these variations of the Earth's
orbit cause climate changes that affect the entire ecosystem."
The researcher and former member of Conicet IPCC Rosa Compagnucci, says
that for her "The main reason for climate variability of the Earth would
have more to do with astronomy: specifically, with the capricious solar
activity, which has not proved to be homogeneous through decades and centuries. "
Eduardo Tonni, principal investigator of the Committee for Scientific
Research in the province of Buenos Aires (CIC) and head of paleontology at
the University of La Plata, said "There is no denying that global warming exists, the debate is
whether it was generated by human beings or if it is only natural. There
are effects of the action of man, but it is much more likely to be a natural product."
The former director of the Biological Station of Doñana, belonging to the
Higher Council for Scientific Research, and chairman of the
Migros Foundation, Miguel Ferrer replied to this question:
Is Climate change a problem of the future or a present reality ?
"In the field of science there is no disagreement that this is a
present reality, because in my particular case the scientific evidence is
overwhelming. Over the past one hundred and fifty years the changes have
happened at an enormous speed and are significantly different to what had
happened before. "
Researcher Lonnie Thompson, said at the annual meeting of American
Association for the Advancement of Science that took place last year: "No
matter what we do at the moment the glaciars are disappearing, and we will
lose the tropical glaciers, glaciers of the Andes and Kilimanjaro in Africa. "
Marco Zapata, engineer/geologist and coordinator of the unit Glaciology
and Water Resources of the National Institute of Natural Resources of Peru
said, "The glaciers are very sensitive indicators of climate change.
Glaciars in Peru are undergoing a process of reversal or deglaciación very
fast. "
Maria Teresa Becerra, an adviser to the environmental area of the
General Secretariat of the Andean Community of Nations (CAN) said:
"The warming affects not only the gases emisor, but all countries on the
planet, it affects more Latin American countries because they are the
most vulnerable. We are eminently agricultural countries and global warming
affects, since it changes climates. "
During the 11 th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (COP11) in Montreal, Canada in 2005, the
Argentine Government reported that, "The natural-touristic heritage is
affected by the reduction of Patagonian glaciers areas. It's one of the
many reasons why scientists and technicians are working on possible geographic
and climatic scenarios in order to anticipate and mitigate the possible
consequences of climate change. "
Impact on protected natural areas
Ecosystems have an inherent capacity to withstand changes in climate and
landscape, this capacity is called ecological resilience. When this
capacity is exceeded, the ecosystem can change in ways that can be socially
and environmentally unacceptable.
In the 5th. World Parks Congress, held in Durban, South Africa in 2003,
specialists from around the world warned that climate change is damaging
protected natural areas and other valuable habitats around the world.
These rapid changes are resulting in the loss of rare or endangered species.
National Parks around the world, from the Canadian Arctic tundra to the
Americas and South Africa, have identified climate change as responsible
for the migration of species and habitats outside the borders of the
parks.
The institutions responsible for managing natural areas could face in the
future to the daunting task of having to change their protected areas to
keep pace with moving habitats and ecosystems.
Dr. Claude Martin, Director General of WWF International, said:
"Climate change has emerged as a major threat to protected areas and we must
take urgent measures to reduce CO2 emissions if we are to avoid
irreversible damage in the protected areas in the world. "
So what can be done? The mitigation strategies can reduce the vulnerability
of ecosystems and adaptation strategies can enhance the ecological
resilience to climate and landscape change. The mitigation strategies are
actions that foresee, reduce or slowdown changes in climate and landscape.
The adaptation strategies are actions which counteract the adverse
consequences of changes in climate and landscape.
Jean Ortiz, head of Huascaran National Park in Peru, revealed "that global
warming is seriously affecting the place, since plants are disappearing
and animals are fleeing to higher areas."
The biologist Miguel Ferrer believes "Until now the conservation policy,
which was based on the network of parks, national or natural, or in the
Natura 2000 network, has been an accepted strategy and has had very
positive results, but is clearly insufficient in a world where living
things we intend to protect move at a speed greater than we think.
However, they leave the reserves we have created, and we must put in place
other mechanisms that will enable us to be much more agile in the
territories in which living things are going to move. Figures in which public ownership
is not necessary, but in which private owners can be incorporated into the need and the obligation
to conserve biodiversity. "
Let us not forget that biodiversity is a major source of livelihood
directly, since 40% of the global economy and 80% of the needs of the
poorest emanate from biological resources.
Another example is threatened Yasuni National Park in the Ecuadorian Amazon
and its environs, where 30 million species coexist in 982,000 hectares.
Esteban Suarez, director of Conservaty Wildlife Society, Ecuador chapter,
said that "It is one of the most biodiverse places on the planet, in this
exceptional biodiversity it is based the foundation for its conservation."
The strategy of adaptive management
The message is written on the wall: resource managers must implement
effective strategies for mitigation and adaptation to occur long before
the expected impacts of climate and landscape change. This task is a
challenge for two reasons: first, most resource managers do not have the
staff or budget to manage their areas in order to avoid the potential
negative effects of climate and landscape change. Second, there is
considerable uncertainty regarding the nature and extent of future changes
in climate and landscape, as well as the manner in which human and natural
systems will respond to these changes, with or without mitigation
strategies or adaptation.
The ability of managers to create and implement policies and better
informed management decisions related to climate change and landscape can
be improved through an increase in access to information and understanding
of the causes and consequences of climate and landscape change by managers
and, secondly, providing managers with the tools that will enable them to
identify and compare strategies for mitigation and adaptation.
The mass of snow in the mountains is disappearing
The report of the United Nations Development Programme - UNDP - "The fight
against climate change: Solidarity to face a divided world" indicates that
there are 2,500 square kilometres of tropical glaciers in the Andes and
the most worrying is that since the beginning of 1970 is estimated to have
declined between 20% and 30%.
There are 160,000 registered glaciers in the world, so the mountains are
an excellent laboratory to test the effects of climate change. They occupy
one fifth of the Earth's surface and half the current population depends
on them for life.
Dr. Matilda Rusticucci, a
researcher at the Department of Atmospheric Sciences of the Oceans and the
Faculty of Natural Sciences of the University of Buenos Aires (UBA),
agrees with Dr. Mario Nunez, with respect to "the differences between
temperatures maximum and minimum have decreased, and this makes winters
more pleasant. "
The Argentinian Institute of Snow, Glaciers and Environmental Sciences of
Mendoza disclosed that "over the past 20 years the glaciers along the
Patagonia have declined in surface between 10% and 20%."
More than 40 Patagonian glaciers are receding. One is the glacier Frias,in the
Tronador mountain, in the Nahuel Huapi National Park. From 1660 to 1850,
approximately, fell at a speed of 2.5 meters per year. But since global
warming began, the speed of decline increased significantly: fell 7 meters
per year between 1850 and 1900, 10 meters per year between 1910 and 1940,
and 36 meters, between 1976 and 1986, and unfortunately the process.
The Institute of Development Research (IRD by its French acronym) that
studies the effects of global warming on tropical glaciers, has formulated
a devastating scientific prediction "In the next 20 years, the majority of
Peruvians snowed mountains will only be remembrance post cards. "
Scientists Hernan Chamber and Eugenio Yermolín, from the Argentine Antarctica
Institute (IAA) said "In the late 80, the ice fields of southern Argentina
and Chile--had reduced its surface in approximately 500 square kilometres."
Peru has about 70 percent of glaciers in South America ridges, compared
to 20 percent in Bolivia, 4 percent in Ecuador, 4 percent in Colombia and
less than 1 percent in Venezuela. Over the past 30 years, the surface of
the glaciers of Peru --nearly 1,750 square kilometers-- has regressed
in a 21.8 percent due to melting of glaciers because of global warming and
environmental pollution. This percentage, according to experts, amounts to
approximately 446 square kilometres of snow.
Between 1948 and 1976 snow declined 9 meters on
average in the Cordillera Blanca. But since 1977 to date the decline was
19 to 20 m, said Marco Zapata, head of Glaciology Unit of the National
Institute of Natural Resources -- Inrena-Peru.
In 1989 it was developed a national inventory of glaciers that found
that in the 18 mountain ranges of Peru there were 3044 glaciers, covering
an area of 2041 km2. Ten years later studies by the National Environmental
Council found that the mass of glaciers had reduced its surface by 23%.
The Minister of Environment of Chile, Dr. Ana Lya Uriarte highlighted
that "One major consequence of climate change is
reducing the masses of ice virtually around the globe, pinpointing the
changes in Greenland, the Canadian Arctic, the Andes
South America and Antarctica. Our country is no stranger to this problem,
as our glaciers are receding rapidly, with still little known consequences for our society. "
Maria Teresa Becerra, an expert on issues of ecology and biodiversity
says "Water in the cities of Latin America depends on the glaciers that are
melting."
The President of Ecuador Dr. Rafael Correa Delgado said "Climate
change affects Ecuador and other Andean countries directly in the form of
melting glaciers and loss of water reserves. Nobody is compensating Ecuador for
this damage." "The value of biodiversity has tended to rise in accordance
with the pace of its destruction."
According to scientists at the Geophysical Institute at the University
of Mexico, global warming was precisely the main cause for the disappearance of the remaining
glaciers in the Popocatepetl volcano in 2000 and in 15 or
20 years they predict that they will lose all the glaciers in the country.
The doctor Chehbouni, research director of the French Institute for
Scientific Research in Mexico states that "Climate change is a global
phenomenon, but the consequences are regional." "And the sad reality in Latin America
is that people living near the glacier has nothing to do with increasing
emissions of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere"
The director of the Institute of Geological Research and Environment of
Bolivia, Jaime Argollos, explained "As a geologist I know that
thousands of years ago glaciers receded still more than what is
happening now, then it is essential to know the current impact on high
mountains, since it is happening again. "
Most affected areas are the glaciers of Sajama volcano, Chacaltaya and Zongo and the melting of
which have declined since the nineties and the melting of the basin Tuni Condoriri
at a speed 10 times faster than in past decades
and this affects water resources in La Paz and El Alto.
The Alps have also lost 50% of its glaciers, two thirds of the glaciers
in Glacier National Park (USA) have disappeared and the Himalayas will
lose 20% of its glacier mass in 30 years.
Think and act
The President of the Republic of Costa Rica, Oscar Arias said "One of the
tools to create awareness among citizens about climate change is
education and give priority to humanity and not risking the future of new generations. "
The report "GEO ice and snow" developed by the United Nations Environment
Programme (UNEP) and the Ministry of Environment and
Natural Resources of Mexico (INE), which released the impact of melting,
specifies "It is extremely important to keep the ice and snow because that is
where it speaks with more evidence the potential impact of climate change
in biodiversity, water and even culture. This topic besides being a
serious problem at the poles is also an extremely serious problem in our
region ".
Watt-Cloutier said "Climate change is destroying our right to life,
health and livelihoods. States that do not recognize these impacts
and do not take action violate our human rights "
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said "I see with concern that the
effects of climate change are increasingly noticeable and could be felt
even more in the future as extreme weather events are intensifying."
The experts of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-IPCC -
warned in his report that the effects of global warming, ranging from
shortages of food and water to the lifting sea levels, negatively
affect the environment for human life.
The world is already concerned about climate change. And governments?
As a country, we must know what is going to happen and we must be
prepared.
Let's give the example, children do what they see doing rather than what
they are told to do.
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